February Hazardous Webinar - Flash flooding case studies: Improving predictions and the communication of uncertainty | Natural Hazards Research Australia

February Hazardous Webinar - Flash flooding case studies: Improving predictions and the communication of uncertainty

How can systems, people and public messaging be prepared to reduce the impact of flash flood and enhance community resilience?

In our February Hazardous Webinar, join us to learn what the research says and how it can be put into practice.

Date: 18 February 2025 Time: 11:00am - 12:00pm AEDT

Speakers:

  • Dr Carla Mooney (Bureau of Meteorology and Natural Hazards Research Australia)
  • Steve Muncaster (Victoria State Emergency Service)

Through a case study analysis, the Flash flooding case studies to improve prediction and communication of uncertainty project focused on the communication of probabilistic forecast and warning information to emergency management agencies and communities, providing a foundation upon which  a prototype predictive service for extreme rainfall and flash flood inundation can be established.

The project is a collaboration that explored how research can be used to better understand the weather, our capacity to forecast these events and, importantly, how to communicate uncertainties around the forecasts more clearly to emergency managers and communities.

A value-chain approach was used to investigate the flows of information from meteorologists and modellers through emergency management agencies to communities, highlighting where and how the provision of probabilistic forecast and warning information might improve understanding of and responses to forecasts of flash flooding.