| Natural Hazards Research Australia

Our network

We work with many organisations, including academic, emergency management, private sector and government organisations, agencies and associations.

The Centre is developing a coordinated national research effort in natural hazards including bushfire, flood, storm, cyclone, earthquake, coastal inundation and tsunami. Our knowledge network extends to many organisations and universities, creating research that keeps Australian communities safe from natural hazards. 

The research program is conducted under the direction and involvement of the Centre's Participants: those organisations or entities (or representative thereof) that have been contracted through a Participant Agreement with the Centre. See tabs below for a list of our currently signed Participants, with the exception of Research and Collaborator organisations. 

Some organisations will appear in two or more categories below, as we often work with organisations in different capacities, for example as both end-users and research providers. 

Fighting the fires within: breaking down the barriers to mental help-seeking amongst first responders with PTSD and high psychological distress

Project type

Postgraduate research

Project status

In progress

This project aims to identify the strategies and recommendations that emergency services agencies could adopt in order to improve the mental health and wellbeing of their workforce. The focus of this research is on barriers to help-seeking by workers who have developed, or are at risk of developing, serious mental health conditions, such as post-traumatic stress disorder, as a result of their work experiences.

Project details

Results to date indicate that agencies may need to address issues such as stigma or mental health literacy. The former would require a significant shift in culture and attitudes and the latter requires an easier fix that is training programs aimed at increasing mental health literacy and improving understanding of how early intervention and seeking of support can ameliorate development or worsening of mental health conditions/symptoms.

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Remote sensing of fuel to improve fire behaviour predictions

Project type

Postgraduate research

Project status

In progress

Remote sensing of bushfire fuel has been identified as a way of objectively measuring fuel to assess risk and make predictions of fire spread. This project proposes to measure bushfire fuel using remote sensing and the effects of fuel on fire behaviour. The research will focus on a specific fuel type which has been identified by end-users in South Australia as difficult to predict with current fire behaviour models.

Project details

Known in South Australia as Coastal Mallee Heath, this specific fuel type dominates the recently devastated Kangaroo Island and is also found in other southern coastal areas of South Australia and Western Australia. The fuel structure may be similar to other high fuel load heathlands around Australia and possibly other countries, however this will need to be determined by the research outcomes.

This research is being supported by the Department of Environment and Water (DEW) and South Australia Country Fire Service. Simeon is an employee of DEW and is supported to coordinate experimental burns as well as collect fire observations and fuel samples at prescribed burns and bushfires.

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Why do people drive through floodwater? Utilising virtual reality to assess motivations and behaviour associated with driving through floodwater

Research theme

Resilient communities

Project type

Postgraduate research

Project status

In progress

This PhD project will use the University of New England's state of the art virtual reality and eye tracking laboratories to experimentally test the psychological factors that might influence the decision to drive into floodwater. The project will also examine the protective effects of risk treatments such as warning signs, penalties and safety education.

Project details

Drivers continue to enter flooded road crossings in Australia, often with tragic outcomes. Given the expected increase in flooding predicted with climate change, designing better risk mitigation and community safety strategies requires understanding of the psychology behind a drivers’ decision to enter floodwater.

Key research questions of this project include:

  1. What are the motivations (i.e. variables that affect behaviour) for decisions to drive into floodwater?
  2. What protective factors are associated with decisions not to drive into floodwater?
  3. Does a driver’s perception of risk influence decisions to drive into floodwater?
  4. Can interventions be tailored to different motivations, protective factors and risk perceptions?
Resources
Date Type Title
31 August 2020 Poster Nurturing to avoid nature

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Flood risk reduction in a dynamic urban context exploring the urban-water-resilience nexus

Research theme

Situational awareness

Project type

Postgraduate research

Project status

In progress

The overarching goal of the research is to reduce community’s vulnerability to flood risks by enhancing risk reduction capacity of the built environment. The possible outcomes of the research include critical review of flood risk management policy and practices and identification of “fit for purpose” policy guidelines to deal with dynamic change. The research context is Melbourne, Victoria and the research findings will offer empirical data resources for end-user agencies.

Project details

Globally, the link between the built environment and disaster risk is increasingly become a focus of attention particularly in the dynamic context of continuing urbanisation and climate change. Australia’s urban areas, being vulnerable to range of disaster risks, present a relevant case to study. Along with other disaster events, flash flooding from intense bursts of rainfall are becoming more frequent and severe in Australia. Climate change and population growth add a further critical dimension to this already challenging situation. In response, the Victorian Government has prepared a revised draft ‘Victorian Floodplain Management Strategy’ in 2015 focusing on flood mitigation approaches in addition to flood response and recovery efforts. The overarching challenge is how urban planning can inform flood resilience in the context of infill and dynamic urban change. 

The research, therefore, aims to understand urban-water-resilience nexus holistically as intersecting fields of urban planning, water management and disaster risk management while emphasising the urban-water transformation over time and the cross-scale implication (trade-offs) with particular reference to floods. The research follows the system approach (multi-scalar analysis) to empirically investigate the research questions in the context of urban catchment of Elster Creek, Melbourne. At the macro scale, the study addresses the temporal dimension of risk by tracing the long-term impacts of past urban growth and water management policies and practices and how they have influenced the present flood risk in the catchment. At the meso or morphological scale, the focus is on the location and spatial heterogeneity and their influence on the spatial risk distribution. At the micro or building parcel scale, the study examines the trade-offs between urban form’s transformation and flood risk mitigation at the catchment. Finally, the study critics the existing planning policies and schemes in order to assess degree of preparedness and dynamic change management.

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Parameterisation for a simplified short-range firebrand model from physics-based modelling

Project type

Postgraduate research

Project status

In progress

This PhD project will involve experimental/physical modelling scenarios for firebrand transport of varying number, mass, length, surface to volume ratio, etc. under various wind conditions; statistical analysis of the transport to determine some dynamic transport equations; obtain firebrand creation probability and ignition probabilities from other PhD studies; incorporation of firebrand creation probability, dynamic transport and ignition probabilities into an operational model; and comparison of the fire parameters to experimental/physical scenarios.

Project details

This project aims at incorporating a simplified but faithful firebrand model in Spark toolkit (taking as a representative operational model). Spotting can be classified into three categories based upon the distance travelled by the firebrands: (a) short-range spotting (up to 500-750 m), (b) medium-range spotting (1000-1500 m), and (c) long-range spotting (>5000 m). Short-range spotting is being studied extensively at Victoria University. This kind of spotting is mostly the result of firebrands blown directly ahead of the fire with little to no lofting. An experimental rig has been designed and constructed to measure firebrand landing distance and distribution which are blown with no lofting. A physics-based model, Wildland Urban Interface Fire Dynamics Simulator, WFDS, is being improved upon and validated against those sets of experiments. The experiments and modelling include both non-burning and burning firebrands.

WFDS computational simulations at laboratory scale (less than 100m) are an economical and feasible approach compared to experiments, without any of the risk and hazards associated with large-scale experimental studies. The results obtained from WFDS can be used to obtain firebrand landing, scattering and distribution for an order of magnitude to a larger scale (~1000m).  In this study, a series of WFDS simulations of large-scale scenarios of short-range ember (burning) transport will be conducted.  Required parameters for simplified firebrand dynamics for use within an operational model will be obtained via statistical analysis of firebrand behaviour and landing distributions.  This parameterisation will be applied in Spark toolkit.

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Impact of fires on temperate rainforests in northern New South Wales

Project type

Postgraduate research

Project status

In progress

This project will examine the consequences of recent unprecedented landscape scale bushfires in northern New South Wales on a world heritage listed ecosystem renown for its diversity of ancient plant lineages which exhibit few obvious adaptations to increasing fire activity.

Project details

This research project aims to characterise the resilience and sensitivity of temperate rainforest communities to historic disturbance, climate variability and bushfire using a combination of long-term stand dynamic observations, dendrochronology and landscape spatial analysis. The project will examine the consequences of recent unprecedented landscape scale bushfires in northern NSW on a world heritage listed ecosystem renowned for its diversity of ancient plant lineages which exhibit few obvious adaptations to increasing fire activity.

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Productivity and effectiveness of suppression resources and tactics on large fires

Project type

Postgraduate research

Project status

In progress

Heather's PhD is providing empirical measures and modelling of resources that are used for suppression of campaign fires. Her research is examining historical data by evaluating recent campaign fires in Australia. Operational data is being used to generate models of current suppression resourcing and tactics. These models will be used to evaluate various resource scenarios in simulation studies.

Project details

Heather's PhD  will provide empirical measures and modelling of resources that are used for suppression of campaign fires. Research will commence with an examination of historical data by evaluating recent campaign fires in Australia. Operational data will be used to generate models of current suppression resourcing and tactics. These models will be used to evaluate various resource scenarios in simulation studies. For a given set of fire weather, fuel and topographical conditions, the research questions are:

  • What is the appropriate level of resources required for successful containment of campaign fires in Australia?
  • Should suppression resources be engaged in offensive or defensive strategies?
  • What offensive strategies should suppression resources use?
  • What should be expected for a containment timeframe?
  • Is there a sufficient level of resources to hold a fire to a specific threshold of fire size?

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Planning for bushfire protection: maintenance of bushfire protection measures

Project type

Postgraduate research

Project status

In progress

This research will determine the different options which exist for providing a compliance/enforcement program to address a significant gap in bushfire protection.

Project details

This research will determine the different options which exist for providing a compliance/enforcement program to address this significant gap in bushfire protection. Importantly, the research will discover whether there are certain ways to design developments and bushfire protection measures which advantageously play to the strengths of human behaviour, therefore removing the need for thought in undertaking bushfire protection. Thus, bushfire protection becomes a day-to-day habit, rather than a significant exercise. In doing this, the study will determine whether design can top regulation in the long term maintenance of bushfire protection measures. 

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